Flecha Negra Sub 19 vs Cacereño Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
47.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
8º
6º
55
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flecha Negra Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSU
2 - 1
FLE
35%
22%
44%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 3
FLE
25%
21%
55%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
COR
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
FLE
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
3 - 0
PSF
56%
20%
24%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cacereño Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAC
4 - 1
CDM
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
CAC
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAC
5 - 1
MON
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PSF
1 - 0
CAC
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
BAD
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |