Lowland Football League Scotland Round 32

Cowdenbeath vs Hearts II analysis

Cowdenbeath Hearts II
47 ELO 49
-3.9% Tilt -8.8%
5709º General ELO ranking 5229º
66º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Cowdenbeath
24.1%
Draw
42.3%
Hearts II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.3%
Win probability
Hearts II
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cowdenbeath
+2%
-33%
Hearts II

Points and table prediction

Cowdenbeath
Their league position
Hearts II
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
16º
10º
40
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
77
77
100%
Celtic II
70
70
100%
Caledonian Braves
63
63
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
61
61
0%
Linlithgow Rose
61
61
0%
Albion Rovers
54
54
100%
Broxburn Athletic
51
51
100%
Civil Service Strollers
47
47
100%
East Stirlingshire
43
43
100%
Cowdenbeath
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Hearts II
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Bo'ness United
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Stirling University
13º
35
35
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Gretna 2008
15º
33
33
15º
0%
Berwick Rangers
16º
33
33
16º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
17º
31
31
17º
0%
Broomhill FC
18º
31
31
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Cowdenbeath
Hearts II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Hearts II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2025
BON
Bo'ness United
0 - 5
Cowdenbeath
CWB
59%
21%
20%
45 47 2 0
22 Mar. 2025
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
56%
23%
21%
45 50 5 0
15 Mar. 2025
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
38%
24%
38%
44 37 7 +1
08 Mar. 2025
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 3
Broxburn Athletic
BRX
38%
25%
37%
46 47 1 -2
04 Mar. 2025
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 2
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
39%
25%
37%
45 46 1 +1

Matches

Hearts II
Hearts II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2025
HOM
Hearts II
4 - 1
Gretna 2008
GRE
69%
18%
13%
48 38 10 0
15 Mar. 2025
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
4 - 2
Hearts II
HOM
48%
23%
29%
49 51 2 -1
11 Mar. 2025
BFC
Broomhill FC
1 - 1
Hearts II
HOM
18%
21%
62%
49 37 12 0
07 Mar. 2025
HOM
Hearts II
0 - 1
Caledonian Braves
CBF
39%
26%
35%
50 54 4 -1
04 Mar. 2025
HOM
Hearts II
2 - 3
East Kilbride
EAS
18%
19%
63%
50 59 9 0