Lowland Football League Scotland Round 20

Cowdenbeath vs Hearts II analysis

Cowdenbeath Hearts II
39 ELO 47
-14.1% Tilt -17.9%
5628º General ELO ranking 4997º
65º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
22.3%
Cowdenbeath
23.5%
Draw
54.1%
Hearts II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.1%
Win probability
Hearts II
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cowdenbeath
+25%
-21%
Hearts II

Points and table prediction

Cowdenbeath
Their league position
Hearts II
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
14º
11º
69
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
81
81
100%
Hearts II
69
69
100%
Bo'ness United
67
67
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
65
65
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
60
60
100%
Celtic II
59
59
100%
Civil Service Strollers
56
56
100%
Linlithgow Rose
50
50
100%
Albion Rovers
46
49
20%
Stirling University
11º
46
49
10º
20.5%
Cowdenbeath
10º
46
46
11º
70.5%
Caledonian Braves
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Berwick Rangers
13º
42
42
13º
100%
East Stirlingshire
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Broomhill FC
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
12
12
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cowdenbeath
Hearts II
100% 100%

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Hearts II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
CWB
Cowdenbeath
3 - 3
Celtic II
CFC
18%
22%
60%
36 49 13 0
25 Nov. 2023
ICT
Inverness CT
2 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
82%
13%
5%
36 64 28 0
11 Nov. 2023
BON
Bo'ness United
4 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
65%
19%
16%
37 40 3 -1
04 Nov. 2023
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 1
Linlithgow Rose
LIN
20%
23%
57%
37 45 8 0
31 Oct. 2023
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
70%
19%
11%
36 47 11 +1

Matches

Hearts II
Hearts II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
EAS
East Kilbride
2 - 4
Hearts II
HOM
62%
20%
19%
46 52 6 0
11 Nov. 2023
AFC
AFC Edinburgh University
0 - 4
Hearts II
HOM
10%
14%
76%
46 9 37 0
03 Nov. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
0 - 1
Stirling University
STI
54%
22%
24%
47 44 3 -1
20 Oct. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
2 - 1
Celtic II
CFC
40%
23%
37%
45 48 3 +2
17 Oct. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
6 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
51%
23%
26%
44 43 1 +1