Courcelles vs Gilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-99%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
12º
41
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Courcelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
COU
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COU
1 - 5
BEL
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LUI
5 - 1
COU
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
COU
1 - 0
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 0
COU
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
3 - 1
LER
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 2
RAN
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
RFC
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 2
BEL
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LUI
1 - 3
RFC
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |