Cotia vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
COT
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 2
COT
56%
23%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
SJS
27%
26%
48%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
COT
64%
20%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
TUP
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
3 - 1
TUP
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SJS
1 - 1
TUP
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |