Cotia vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
COT
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
COT
64%
21%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 2
TUP
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
COT
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 2
COT
56%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SJS
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ATI
5 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SER
3 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 3
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |