Costa Unida vs Peña Compadres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
82.5%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
4.2%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+413%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ALH
4 - 1
COS
67%
18%
15%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
COS
2 - 3
BNM
22%
20%
58%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 0
COS
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COS
0 - 1
MRF
48%
20%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COS
1 - 5
BAN
20%
19%
62%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
5 - 3
CES
66%
17%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CDM
3 - 5
PEN
11%
14%
74%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
UDE
1 - 8
PEN
9%
13%
79%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 0
ALH
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BNM
3 - 3
PEN
31%
20%
49%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |