Costa do Sol vs Desportivo Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
PEM
1 - 1
COS
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
COS
0 - 0
VIL
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MAX
1 - 1
COS
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
COS
4 - 0
TEX
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
COS
2 - 1
LIG
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
DMA
0 - 0
CHI
39%
29%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
IDX
1 - 1
DMA
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
DMA
0 - 1
FER
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
DMA
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DMA
1 - 1
FER
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |