Costa Ayala vs Unión Carrizal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
DPV
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
BLP
24%
21%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
COS
1 - 3
UDG
23%
23%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LOM
2 - 1
COS
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
EST
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
UCA
0 - 3
DOR
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
UCA
1 - 5
LOM
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
UCA
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
UCA
1 - 1
TAR
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
LON
1 - 1
UCA
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |