Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
TFI
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
5 - 2
COS
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
COS
0 - 3
FIO
11%
20%
69%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
DOM
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
TFI
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 1
SGI
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 2
FOL
16%
21%
64%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIR
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 1
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +3 |