Campionato Liga Regular round 4

Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis

Cosmos AC Virtus
47 ELO 56
-0.6% Tilt 12.5%
1864º General ELO ranking 1767º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.8%
Cosmos
24.3%
Draw
53%
AC Virtus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
Cosmos
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53%
Win probability
AC Virtus
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cosmos
-7%
+34%
AC Virtus

ELO progression

Cosmos
AC Virtus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cosmos
Cosmos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
COS
Cosmos
1 - 3
Fiorentino
FIO
22%
26%
52%
47 61 14 0
18 Sep. 2016
FAE
Faetano
3 - 1
Cosmos
COS
48%
24%
28%
47 49 2 0
14 Sep. 2016
COS
Cosmos
0 - 3
Pennarossa
PEN
23%
25%
52%
48 60 12 -1
10 Sep. 2016
COS
Cosmos
0 - 2
Juvenes / Dogana
JUV
25%
25%
51%
49 58 9 -1
16 Apr. 2016
COS
Cosmos
3 - 1
San Giovanni
SGI
57%
22%
21%
49 42 7 0

Matches

AC Virtus
AC Virtus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2016
VIR
AC Virtus
0 - 2
Faetano
FAE
62%
21%
17%
58 50 8 0
23 Sep. 2016
VIR
AC Virtus
2 - 0
Faetano
FAE
63%
21%
16%
57 51 6 +1
18 Sep. 2016
JUV
Juvenes / Dogana
1 - 2
AC Virtus
VIR
45%
25%
30%
56 57 1 +1
14 Sep. 2016
TPE
Tre Penne
1 - 0
AC Virtus
VIR
56%
22%
22%
57 63 6 -1
10 Sep. 2016
VIR
AC Virtus
4 - 1
Tre Fiori
TFI
45%
25%
30%
56 57 1 +1