Cosmos vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
COS
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 2
COS
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
TFI
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 0
SGI
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 3
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |