Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
68.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 0
COS
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 0
SGI
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 0
COS
84%
12%
5%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
11%
20%
69%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
74%
18%
8%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
TPE
19%
23%
59%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
DOM
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
FIO
19%
24%
58%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |