Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
COS
0 - 2
JUV
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
SGI
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 1
COS
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
33%
26%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
PEN
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 3
FAE
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |