Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
FOL
2 - 2
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
VIR
1 - 1
COS
59%
22%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
COS
2 - 2
TFI
71%
17%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
COS
1 - 3
SGI
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
DOM
1 - 2
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 1
FIO
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 3
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |