Campionato Temporada Regular round 21

Cosmos vs Libertas analysis

Cosmos Libertas
57 ELO 58
3.7% Tilt 4.9%
1852º General ELO ranking 5230º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
38.4%
Cosmos
26.8%
Draw
34.8%
Libertas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
Cosmos
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.8%
Win probability
Libertas
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cosmos
-7%
-38%
Libertas

Points and table prediction

Cosmos
Their league position
Libertas
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
47
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tre Penne
68
68
100%
Cosmos
67
67
100%
La Fiorita
60
60
100%
Virtus
57
57
100%
Tre Fiori
56
56
100%
Libertas
47
47
100%
Folgore
31
31
100%
Murata
30
30
100%
Juvenes / Dogana
29
29
100%
Domagnano
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Pennarossa
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Faetano
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Fiorentino
13º
23
23
13º
100%
San Giovanni
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Cailungo
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cosmos
Libertas
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Next round
100% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cosmos
Libertas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cosmos
Cosmos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
COS
Cosmos
2 - 0
Domagnano
DOM
57%
23%
20%
55 50 5 0
04 Mar. 2023
COS
Cosmos
4 - 0
Juvenes / Dogana
JUV
65%
20%
15%
55 45 10 0
18 Feb. 2023
PEN
Pennarossa
0 - 4
Cosmos
COS
44%
25%
31%
54 53 1 +1
11 Feb. 2023
COS
Cosmos
1 - 1
La Fiorita
FIO
20%
25%
55%
53 66 13 +1
05 Feb. 2023
FAE
Faetano
0 - 2
Cosmos
COS
40%
26%
35%
52 51 1 +1

Matches

Libertas
Libertas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
LIB
Libertas
1 - 1
La Fiorita
FIO
31%
27%
42%
59 65 6 0
08 Mar. 2023
CAI
Cailungo
1 - 2
Libertas
LIB
17%
24%
59%
59 42 17 0
03 Mar. 2023
LIB
Libertas
3 - 3
Fiorentino
FIO
63%
22%
15%
59 50 9 0
19 Feb. 2023
LIB
Libertas
0 - 0
Tre Fiori
TFI
26%
26%
48%
58 68 10 +1
12 Feb. 2023
LIB
Libertas
2 - 2
Virtus
VIR
40%
27%
34%
59 60 1 -1