Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
48%
23%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FAE
1 - 2
COS
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
COS
1 - 6
TFI
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SGI
1 - 0
COS
24%
21%
55%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
COS
1 - 3
FAE
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 4
FIO
12%
18%
70%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 1
FOL
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 0
PEN
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |