Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
COS
2 - 1
TPE
11%
16%
73%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
COS
27%
22%
51%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COS
1 - 2
TPE
18%
23%
60%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 0
COS
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 0
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIB
23%
25%
51%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TFI
0 - 1
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
CAI
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |