Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
COS
68%
18%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
COS
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 4
COS
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COS
0 - 0
FOL
14%
23%
63%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 2
CAI
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TPE
0 - 0
LIB
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 1
PEN
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
FIO
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 2
LIB
26%
25%
48%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |