Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 3
COS
11%
21%
68%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COS
7 - 1
FAE
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COS
2 - 1
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COS
3 - 0
VIR
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAI
70%
18%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 4
FOL
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FOL
8 - 0
PEN
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 2
FOL
35%
24%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
TPE
11%
20%
68%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |