Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
64.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAI
3 - 0
COS
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
TFI
9%
15%
76%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
5 - 2
COS
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
COS
0 - 3
FIO
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
4 - 1
FIO
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 0
FAE
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
TPE
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
14%
24%
63%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |