Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COS
2 - 0
CAI
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
COS
40%
23%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LIB
4 - 2
COS
60%
23%
16%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
COS
2 - 3
VIR
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
COS
2 - 4
TPE
13%
18%
69%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAE
2 - 0
LIB
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 0
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
20%
27%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
FAE
0 - 1
VIR
29%
23%
48%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
VIR
3 - 3
FAE
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |