COSFA vs Tolanaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
COSFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
ASR
1 - 7
COA
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
COA
4 - 0
VFM
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
3FB
0 - 0
COA
57%
23%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
ILA
1 - 0
COA
38%
22%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
COA
2 - 0
AMP
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +8 |
Matches
Tolanaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
VFM
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
ILA
1 - 1
TOL
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
ASR
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
3FB
4 - 1
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |