Coruchense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruchense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SAC
0 - 1
COR
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
SIN
19%
24%
58%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
LOU
15%
23%
62%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +5 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SCG
2 - 1
COR
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ARO
3 - 0
COR
82%
14%
5%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FAT
3 - 1
SCG
88%
8%
4%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PER
1 - 6
FAT
7%
14%
80%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 1
ALC
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PRA
3 - 2
FAT
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FAT
0 - 3
CHA
10%
17%
74%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |