Correggese vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
PRO
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GHI
5 - 3
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
COR
3 - 2
USR
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RIM
3 - 1
COR
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
41%
24%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
0 - 2
BAG
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 0
BSD
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 0
FOR
28%
25%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
BAG
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 1
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |