Coritiba vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
COT
2 - 1
SAO
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
CRI
2 - 1
COT
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
COT
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
COT
2 - 3
PAR
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
AMF
1 - 1
COT
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMF
34%
31%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
COR
18%
28%
54%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
BRA
72%
20%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAO
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |