Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COT
5 - 1
VAS
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 0
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
COT
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CEA
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
COT
0 - 1
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COT
5 - 1
VAS
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 0
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VAS
3 - 0
AMF
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 2
VAS
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 3
VAS
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |