Paranaense 1 Normal Season Round 3

Coritiba vs Toledo EC analysis

Coritiba Toledo EC
73 ELO 38
-8.4% Tilt -4.3%
383º General ELO ranking 8671º
30º Country ELO ranking 357º
ELO win probability
83.1%
Coritiba
13.2%
Draw
3.7%
Toledo EC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
Coritiba
2.36
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
3.7%
Win probability
Toledo EC
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coritiba
+1%
-35%
Toledo EC

ELO progression

Coritiba
Toledo EC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2021
COT
Coritiba
3 - 2
Operário PR
OPE
57%
25%
18%
72 67 5 0
03 Apr. 2021
OPE
Operário PR
1 - 0
Coritiba
COT
35%
26%
39%
73 67 6 -1
28 Mar. 2021
COT
Coritiba
2 - 1
Cascavel CR
CCR
82%
14%
4%
73 40 33 0
23 Mar. 2021
GEM
Grêmio Maringá
0 - 1
Coritiba
COT
3%
9%
88%
72 37 35 +1
18 Mar. 2021
URO
União Rondonópolis
0 - 1
Coritiba
COT
6%
15%
79%
72 41 31 0

Matches

Toledo EC
Toledo EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2021
TCW
Toledo EC
1 - 0
Operário PR
OPE
15%
24%
61%
37 68 31 0
31 Mar. 2021
CIA
Cianorte
1 - 0
Toledo EC
TCW
71%
19%
10%
37 57 20 0
21 Mar. 2021
CCR
Cascavel CR
0 - 1
Toledo EC
TCW
55%
22%
23%
36 41 5 +1
17 Mar. 2021
TCW
Toledo EC
0 - 2
Paraná
PAR
14%
21%
65%
37 58 21 -1
11 Mar. 2021
TCW
Toledo EC
0 - 1
Rio Branco PR
RIO
24%
23%
54%
38 48 10 -1