Coritiba vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.5%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
75%
18%
7%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FOZ
0 - 4
COT
12%
18%
71%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
FOR
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PPE
2 - 0
COT
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
GOI
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
TCW
4 - 2
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
TCW
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
TCW
1 - 1
ATP
10%
23%
67%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CEU
2 - 0
TCW
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PRU
0 - 0
TCW
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |