Coritiba vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 1
COT
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
COT
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
AMF
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
COT
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAO
15%
23%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
CEA
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
AYA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 0
JWI
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | +1 |