Paranaense 1 Jor. 3

Coritiba vs Paraná analysis

Coritiba Paraná
75 ELO 60
-6.6% Tilt -15.2%
313º General ELO ranking 3688º
26º Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
67.2%
Coritiba
20.4%
Draw
12.4%
Paraná

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
Coritiba
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.4%
Win probability
Paraná
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coritiba
-6%
-4%
Paraná

ELO progression

Coritiba
Paraná
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2017
CAS
Cascavel FC
0 - 0
Coritiba
COT
6%
13%
81%
75 44 31 0
29 Jan. 2017
CIA
Cianorte
1 - 0
Coritiba
COT
10%
21%
69%
76 50 26 -1
11 Dec. 2016
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 0
Coritiba
COT
57%
24%
19%
76 78 2 0
28 Nov. 2016
COT
Coritiba
0 - 1
Vitória
VIT
51%
26%
24%
76 73 3 0
20 Nov. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 2
Coritiba
COT
62%
23%
16%
77 82 5 -1

Matches

Paraná
Paraná
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2017
PAR
Paraná
2 - 0
Cianorte
CIA
58%
24%
18%
59 51 8 0
29 Jan. 2017
PAR
Paraná
5 - 0
Foz do Iguaçu
FOZ
67%
21%
12%
59 43 16 0
25 Jan. 2017
PAR
Paraná
2 - 0
Avaí
AVA
25%
26%
49%
58 68 10 +1
25 Nov. 2016
PAR
Paraná
0 - 2
Tupi
TUP
57%
26%
18%
59 53 6 -1
19 Nov. 2016
CEA
Ceará
1 - 1
Paraná
PAR
53%
25%
22%
59 64 5 0
X