Coritiba vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
FLA
1 - 1
COT
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
COT
2 - 0
GRE
45%
23%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
COT
0 - 1
PAL
38%
23%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
COR
2 - 3
COT
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
COT
2 - 1
CEA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
ATM
2 - 2
SAN
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1971 |
COR
0 - 0
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
CEA
0 - 2
ATM
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
ATM
2 - 2
BOT
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
AME
2 - 0
ATM
33%
23%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |