Coríntians RN vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coríntians RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
PAL
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 3
COR
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
ARN
18%
23%
60%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALE
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 0
ARN
15%
22%
64%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
ALE
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 3
POT
43%
25%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 6
ABC
12%
20%
69%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | -1 |