Corinthians vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.9%
2.6%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
PAL
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
CAZ
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
COM
3 - 3
COR
11%
22%
67%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
COR
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 1
XVD
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 4
XVD
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
XVD
0 - 1
SAO
11%
18%
71%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 0
XVD
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |