Corinthians vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2019 |
COR
2 - 0
LAR
61%
25%
14%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ATP
0 - 2
COR
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
COR
0 - 1
FLA
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 1
COR
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAH
54%
26%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
BAH
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAO
33%
28%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 2
SAO
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |