Corinthians vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 1
COR
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
COT
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 3
COR
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
FLA
62%
23%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ATP
1 - 4
COR
26%
28%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 2
ATM
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COT
1 - 2
SAO
28%
28%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |