Corinthians vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
COR
2 - 1
VIT
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 0
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
COR
3 - 0
GOI
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
COR
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
0 - 1
COR
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
ATM
4 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATP
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
PPE
1 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 0
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
BAH
3 - 2
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |