Corinthians vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
COR
24%
29%
47%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
BRA
66%
23%
12%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 1
COR
32%
30%
38%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 1
COR
50%
28%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 1
SAO
69%
22%
9%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
AUD
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 2
PAL
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEN
79%
16%
5%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 4
PAL
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |