Corinthians vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
COR
1 - 3
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
COR
25%
29%
46%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
BOC
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 1
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
PAL
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
NAU
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLU
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ATM
5 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
GRE
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 2
BOT
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |