Corinthians vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 2
COR
38%
27%
34%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1978 |
BAH
1 - 0
COR
41%
31%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 0
COR
32%
33%
35%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1978 |
COR
1 - 0
OPE
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
COR
2 - 0
JUV
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
CRZ
2 - 1
CAX
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1978 |
CAX
3 - 0
AME
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
CAX
4 - 0
REM
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1978 |
POR
2 - 1
CAX
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
CAX
0 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |