Corinthians vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
CAL
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
COR
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
REA
2 - 0
COR
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
COR
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
GUA
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
AMF
25%
29%
47%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
AVA
41%
26%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
BRU
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
CEI
76%
16%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
HER
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |