Coria CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
CDR
0 - 2
COR
31%
29%
40%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
COR
3 - 0
ARC
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
DHE
0 - 3
COR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
COR
3 - 0
AYA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
CCF
0 - 3
COR
48%
27%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
LUC
3 - 0
PAL
62%
24%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
LAP
2 - 2
LUC
34%
28%
38%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
LUC
1 - 0
SRQ
65%
22%
13%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
SAN
1 - 1
LUC
34%
29%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
LUC
9 - 0
SCF
78%
16%
6%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |