Coria CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
REC
2 - 3
COR
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
COR
5 - 0
BAL
55%
20%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
LCF
2 - 2
COR
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
COR
1 - 2
RJA
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
MEL
4 - 1
COR
70%
16%
13%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |