Corgo vs O Incio Terra Brava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BOV
0 - 1
COR
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 2
COR
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
INC
1 - 3
COR
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
COR
2 - 0
BOV
53%
22%
25%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
COR
3 - 1
PAL
42%
25%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
O Incio Terra Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
INC
3 - 4
PAL
40%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BOV
5 - 1
INC
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
INC
1 - 3
COR
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
INC
34%
22%
45%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
INC
3 - 0
BOV
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |