Asian Games Quarter-finals

South Korea U23 vs Japan U23 analysis

South Korea U23 Japan U23
68 ELO 65
-2.8% Tilt -3.6%
1649º General ELO ranking 1604º
22º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
50.2%
South Korea U23
22.9%
Draw
26.9%
Japan U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
South Korea U23
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.9%
Win probability
Japan U23
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
South Korea U23
-6%
+20%
Japan U23

ELO progression

South Korea U23
Japan U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

South Korea U23
South Korea U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2014
KOR
South Korea U23
3 - 0
Hong Kong U23
HKG
77%
15%
8%
67 50 17 0
21 Sep. 2014
LAO
Laos U23
0 - 2
South Korea U23
KOR
11%
18%
71%
67 27 40 0
17 Sep. 2014
KOR
South Korea U23
1 - 0
Saudi Arabia U23
KSA
62%
20%
18%
66 59 7 +1
14 Sep. 2014
KOR
South Korea U23
3 - 0
Malaysia U23
MAS
82%
13%
6%
66 44 22 0
29 Dec. 2013
IRN
Iran U23
3 - 2
South Korea U23
KOR
27%
23%
50%
67 57 10 -1

Matches

Japan U23
Japan U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2014
PLE
Palestine U23
0 - 4
Japan U23
JPN
14%
20%
67%
65 37 28 0
21 Sep. 2014
NEP
Nepal U23
0 - 4
Japan U23
JPN
12%
19%
70%
65 27 38 0
17 Sep. 2014
JPN
Japan U23
1 - 3
Iraq U23
IRQ
58%
21%
21%
66 61 5 -1
14 Sep. 2014
JPN
Japan U23
4 - 1
Kuwait U23
KWT
78%
15%
8%
66 50 16 0
10 Aug. 2012
KOR
South Korea U23
2 - 0
Japan U23
JPN
41%
25%
34%
67 65 2 -1