Conmebol Sudamericana . Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Coquimbo Unido vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
HUA
0 - 1
COQ
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
COQ
0 - 1
ANT
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
COQ
0 - 3
OHI
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
COQ
0 - 1
JUN
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DLS
1 - 0
COQ
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
CEN
3 - 0
DYJ
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
DYJ
2 - 1
PAT
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DYJ
2 - 1
EST
58%
25%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 1
DYJ
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |