Conwy Borough FC vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
PRE
3 - 0
CON
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CON
1 - 2
RHY
35%
23%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
POR
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FLI
1 - 1
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
CON
86%
11%
3%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 2
BAN
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BFC
2 - 2
PEN
24%
21%
55%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AIR
2 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 1
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
LLA
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |