Conwy Borough FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 3
CON
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 1
CON
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CON
4 - 4
AEL
79%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
LLA
4 - 2
CON
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
AEL
0 - 2
CEF
18%
21%
60%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
24%
23%
54%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
CEF
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 3
LLA
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 2
CEF
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |