Constància vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
18.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
CON
1 - 2
ATB
50%
30%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
MLL
1 - 1
CON
77%
17%
6%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
CON
0 - 0
IBI
57%
26%
17%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CON
64%
24%
12%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
CON
1 - 0
SAB
42%
31%
27%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
MLL
2 - 0
PBL
74%
19%
7%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
PBL
1 - 0
ZAR
53%
28%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
LLE
5 - 1
PBL
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
PBL
1 - 0
YEC
46%
29%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ELD
1 - 0
PBL
64%
23%
13%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |