Constància vs Manacor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
5º
14º
6º
58
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 99% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CLL
1 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
PIN
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PBL
1 - 2
CON
73%
18%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MLL
1 - 3
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
SNF
33%
26%
40%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Manacor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MNC
3 - 2
JOR
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AND
1 - 0
MNC
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MNC
1 - 0
MLL
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MNC
0 - 2
ALC
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MNC
2 - 1
PBL
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |